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Hexanediol (1,2-ethylene glycol) is an important chemical raw material, which is widely used in polyester, paint, pharmaceutical and other fields. Its price fluctuation is affected by many factors. This paper will analyze the price influencing factors of hexylene glycol from six aspects: raw material cost, supply and demand relationship, production process, market competition, policies and regulations and external environment.
The main raw material of hexanediol is ethylene oxide, which in turn comes from ethylene. Thus, the price of ethylene directly affects the cost of hexylene glycol. Ethylene prices are affected by a variety of factors, including crude oil price fluctuations, production plant operating rates and market demand. Higher crude oil prices push up the cost of ethylene, thereby raising the cost of hexylene glycol production. Natural gas is another important raw material for ethylene production, and its price fluctuation will indirectly affect the cost structure of hexylene glycol.
The relationship between supply and demand is one of the core factors that determine the price of hexylene glycol. When market demand grows faster than supply increases, the price of hexylene glycol rises; conversely, when supply exceeds demand, the price falls. On the demand side, hexylene glycol is widely used in industries such as polyester fibers, bottled water containers and antifreeze, and the prosperity of these industries directly affects the demand for hexylene glycol. On the supply side, the operating rate of production units, maintenance shutdowns and the timing of new production capacity will all have an impact on supply.
Different production processes have a significant impact on the cost and yield of hexanediol. The traditional ethylene oxide hydration method is the mainstream production process, its technology is mature and low cost. With the improvement of environmental protection requirements and technological progress, some new processes such as bio-based processes and green catalytic processes have gradually emerged. These new processes may reduce production costs or increase production, but may also affect market prices due to immature technologies that lead to higher initial investment and production costs.
The degree of market competition has a direct impact on the price of hexylene glycol. The market share and competitive strategies of major producers, such as price wars, capacity expansion or mergers and acquisitions, will affect the balance of supply and demand in the market and price fluctuations. For example, when a major producer expands production significantly or introduces a low-price strategy, other producers in the market may be forced to reduce their prices in order to remain competitive. The price and quantity of imported products also have a certain impact on the domestic market price, especially in the context of globalization, the changes in supply and demand in the international market will be transmitted to the domestic market through import channels.
Policies and regulations have an important impact on the production and sale of hexylene glycol. The increasingly stringent environmental protection policies put forward higher emission and treatment requirements for production enterprises, increasing production costs. Safety regulations require companies to invest more money in safety facilities and staff training, which will also increase production costs. Trade policies such as tariffs, import quotas, etc. will also affect the import and export prices and market supply of hexylene glycol. For example, the imposition of quota restrictions or high tariffs on the export of hexylene glycol by certain countries can lead to an imbalance between supply and demand in the international market, thereby affecting prices.
The external environment includes macroeconomic conditions, natural disasters and emergencies, which indirectly affect the price of hexylene glycol. When the macroeconomic situation improves, production and consumption activities in downstream industries increase and demand rises, thereby pushing up the price of hexylene glycol. Natural disasters such as hurricanes, earthquakes, etc. may affect the normal operation of production plants, resulting in reduced supplies. Emergencies such as new crown outbreaks and geopolitical conflicts can also disrupt the supply chain, which in turn affects the market price of hexylene glycol.
Technological progress is also an important factor affecting the price of hexylene glycol. The improvement of production technology and the application of new technology can significantly improve production efficiency and reduce production costs. For example, breakthroughs in catalyst technology could make production processes more efficient and reduce feedstock and energy consumption. The development of information technology has increased the level of automation and intelligence in the production process, and has also helped to reduce production costs and improve product quality, thereby having a positive impact on market prices.
The price of hexanediol is influenced by a combination of factors. The cost of raw materials, supply and demand, production process, market competition, policies and regulations and the external environment all affect its market price to varying degrees. In the future, with the change of market environment and the continuous progress of technology, the price fluctuation of hexylene glycol will continue to be affected by the above factors. Enterprises in the development of production and sales strategy, need to consider these factors, in order to respond to market changes, to ensure their competitiveness and profitability.
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