[Chemical Knowledge]：What are the factors influencing the price of allyl chloride? Detailed analysis, the price of allyl chloride skyrocketed

Foreword

Allyl chloride is an important chemical raw material, which is widely used in the production of epoxy resin, polyvinyl chloride (PVC) and other chemical products. Its price is affected by a variety of factors, including supply and demand, production costs, international market dynamics, and policies and regulations. This article will analyze these factors in detail to help understand the causes of chloropropene price fluctuations.

supply and demand relationship

Demand growth driven

The demand for allyl chloride mainly comes from the production of its downstream products, such as epoxy resin and PVC. Global economic growth has led to the development of infrastructure construction and industrial production, which directly promotes the demand for chloropropene. Especially in emerging market countries, the process of urbanization is accelerating, and the expansion of construction and manufacturing industries has a significant pulling effect on the demand for chloropropene.

Supply-side changes

The supply of chloropropene depends mainly on the production capacity and the operation of the manufacturer. The commissioning of new production units and the withdrawal of old units from the market will affect the overall supply. Overhauls and unexpected shutdowns of production units can also lead to short-term supply constraints, pushing up prices.

raw material price

Propylene price fluctuation

The production of allyl chloride requires propylene as raw material, and the fluctuation of propylene price directly affects the production cost of allyl chloride. The price of propylene is affected by factors such as oil prices, the operating rate of production equipment, and the supply and demand relationship in the international market. The increase in oil prices will push up the price of propylene, which in turn will increase the cost pressure of chloropropene.

Chlorine Price Fluctuation

In addition to propylene, chlorine is also an important raw material for the production of chloropropene. The price of chlorine is also affected by changes in the start-up of production units, supply and market demand. The fluctuation of chlorine price has an important influence on the production cost of chloropropene.

production cost

Energy costs

The production of allyl chloride requires a large amount of energy, including electricity and steam. Changes in energy prices have a direct impact on production costs. In recent years, global energy prices have fluctuated greatly, especially the rising prices of natural gas and coal, which have significantly increased the production cost of chloropropene.

Production technology progress

Advances in production technology can improve production efficiency and reduce production costs per unit of product. For example, the use of advanced catalysts and optimized process flow can reduce the consumption of raw materials and energy, thereby reducing the production cost of chloropropene. These technological advances are of great significance for maintaining the competitiveness of chloropropene prices.

International Market Dynamics

international trade situation

The international trade of chloropropene has an important influence on its price. Changes in supply and demand in the international market, trade policies, tariff barriers and logistics costs will affect the price of chloropropene. For example, higher import tariffs on chloropropene in some countries will increase import costs and drive up prices in the domestic market.

exchange rate fluctuation

International trade in chloropropenes is usually settled in US dollars, so exchange rate fluctuations have a significant impact on prices. The devaluation of the currency of the exporting country will make its products more price advantage in the international market, increase the export volume, and then affect the international market price. The devaluation of the currency of the importing country will increase the cost of imports and push up domestic prices.

Policies and regulations

Environmental Policy

In recent years, global environmental awareness has been increasing, and countries have introduced strict environmental regulations. The emission of pollutants in the production of chloropropene is strictly restricted, and enterprises need to increase investment in environmental protection equipment and technology, which increases production costs. For example, China has strengthened environmental supervision in recent years, resulting in some enterprises to limit production or stop production, directly affecting the market supply, pushing up the price of chloropropene.

safety production regulations

Chloropropene is a flammable and explosive chemical, and there is a high safety risk in its production, storage and transportation. Governments have increasingly stringent requirements for the safety of chemical companies, and companies need to invest heavily in safety facilities, staff training and management systems, which increase production costs and thus affect the price of chloropropene.

market competition

industry concentration

The industrial concentration of the chloropropene market has a certain impact on the price. High concentration means that a few large firms control market supply and are able to influence market prices by adjusting production. Under low concentration, the market competition is fierce, and the price is directly affected by the relationship between supply and demand. In recent years, there have been some mergers and acquisitions in the global chloropropene industry, and the industry concentration has increased, which may support the price.

import substitution

Some countries rely on imported chloropropene to meet domestic demand, so import substitution is also an important factor affecting prices. If domestic production enterprises can replace imports through technological progress and expansion of production, they will reduce their dependence on the international market and stabilize price fluctuations.

Conclusion

The price of chloropropene is affected by a variety of factors, including supply and demand, raw material prices, production costs, international market dynamics, and policies and regulations. These factors interact to form a complex price fluctuation mechanism. In the future, with the continuous development of the global economy and technological progress, the chloropropene market will face more opportunities and challenges. Understanding and analyzing these influencing factors is of great significance for enterprises to formulate production and sales strategies.